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Daily FX Analysis - EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY - Capital Street FX

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  Introduction EUR/USD holds firm around 1.0900 in the Asian session, retracing slightly from its six-week peak of 1.0915 after dovish comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The pair breached the crucial 1.0900 level, reaching multi-week highs amid increased selling pressure on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, GBP/USD maintains strength below 1.2750, buoyed by a weakened US Dollar and positive news from the UK Spring Budget. Japanese Yen rallies to 148.00 against USD as Bank of Japan officials raise rate hike expectations, while USD/CHF hovers above 0.8800, influenced by speculation of a Fed rate cut in June. Markets In Focus Today – EUR/USD EUR/USD Holds Steady Near 1.0900 Ahead Of The ECB Interest Rate Decision. EUR/USD remains steady around 1.0900 during the Asian session on Thursday, retracing slightly from its six-week high of 1.0915 reached in the prior session following dovish remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell during his testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. Final...

GBP/USD rises above 1.2400 amid weak market - Capital Street FX

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  AS THE USD LOSES MOMENTUM ON EASTER MONDAY, THE GBP/USD CROSSES ABOVE 1.2400 . FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW With a rise above 1.2400, the GBP/USD pair has reversed the prior week’s decline from 10-month highs. Despite an overall cautious attitude and hawkish Fed predictions, the US dollar is declining across the board. Easter Monday is a holiday, causing the market’s weak conditions to worsen. GBP/USD has been able to launch a comeback early on Monday after closing in the red on Friday. On Easter Monday, the pair seems to have stabilized above 1.2400, although it is likely to oscillate in a narrow range amidst muted market activity. In contrast to the market expectation of 240,000, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Friday that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) climbed by 236,000 in the US in March. The Labor Force Participation Rate increased to 62.6% from 62.5%, and the Unemployment Rate decreased to 3.5% from 3.6%. Additionally, the average hourly earnings, which serve as a proxy for annu...

EUR/USD facing downward pressure amid recession fears - Capital Street FX

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  RECESSION CONCERNS DRIVE EUR/USD CLOSER TO 1.0860 SUPPORT DESPITE THE SHIFT TOWARDS . The EUR/USD pair has been facing downward pressure after retracing from its two-month high on Tuesday. This could be attributed to the US Dollar’s corrective bounce, as investors turn to safe-haven assets due to recession fears and geopolitical tensions. However, the pair’s losses are being limited by weak US economic data and the European Central Bank’s comparatively hawkish stance. The US Dollar Index has rebounded from a two-month low, up 0.12% intraday, as investors seek refuge in the greenback amidst economic concerns and geopolitical risks stemming from China and North Korea. The S&P 500 Futures have declined for three consecutive days, while the US Treasury bond yields remain near their multi-day lows. The market’s consolidation amid the holiday mood could also lead to intraday bearish sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, with the key event to reject the bullish bias being the US Nonfarm P...

USD/CAD rises on hawkish Fed, Bank of Canada holds rates - Capital Street FX

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  THE USD/CAD PAIR SURPASSES THE 1.3800 LEVEL DUE TO THE  UNCHANGED BOC POLICY . The USD/CAD pair rose above the key resistance level of 1.3800 in early Asian trading, bolstered by the Bank of Canada’s decision to maintain its current monetary policy and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his congressional testimony.. Although S&P500 futures showed some signs of recovery, it was not enough to boost market participants’ risk appetite. Furthermore, the 10-year US Treasury yields fell below 4.0%. The US Dollar Index experienced some volatility after the release of better-than-expected employment data from the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) agency. The data showed that job openings rose to 10.824 million, beating the consensus forecast of 10.6 million, while 242,000 jobs were added in the US, higher than the expected 200,000. The strong labor market data suggests that inflation may remain elevated as demand for talent increases, leading to higher...

The Downgraded Global Economic Outlook For 2023, Is At Odds With Market Optimism.

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  GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH IS FORECAST TO BARELY CLEAR 2% THIS YEAR, According to a Reuters poll of economists who said the greater risk was a further downgrade to their view, at odds with widespread optimism in markets since the start of the year. Falling energy prices, a slowdown in inflation in most economies from multi-decade highs, an unexpectedly resilient euro zone economy, and China’s economic reopening have led traders to speculate the downturn will be milder. That has driven MSCI’s all-country world index of shares up nearly 20% from October lows, hitting a five-month closing high on Wednesday, despite the greater risk central banks keep interest rates higher for longer rather than cut them. But economists as a whole were much less upbeat, paring back growth forecasts for this year and next from 2.3% and 3.0%, respectively, in an October 2022 poll to 2.1% and 2.8%. Their dourer mood flew in the face of some notable upgrades by banks in recent weeks. Read More